Geopolitical tensions1 have always played a critical role in shaping the dynamics of global oil prices3. Events such as conflicts in the Middle East, sanctions on major oil-producing countries, and diplomatic standoffs can lead to significant fluctuations in the oil market. These tensions often result in supply disruptions2 or fears of potential supply constraints, which in turn drive prices up. Conversely, resolutions or easing of tensions can lead to a stabilization or decrease in prices. The oil market's sensitivity to geopolitical events underscores the importance of understanding the complex interplay between politics and energy economics.