The global oil market is highly sensitive to geopolitical tensions1, with conflicts and diplomatic standoffs often leading to significant fluctuations in oil prices. Recent events in the Middle East and Eastern Europe have underscored the vulnerability of oil supply chains to geopolitical disruptions. Analysts suggest that the uncertainty surrounding these tensions can lead to increased volatility2 in oil markets, as traders react to potential supply shortages and shifts in demand. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC3) and its allies play a crucial role in stabilizing the market by adjusting production levels in response to geopolitical developments. Understanding the interplay between geopolitics and oil prices is essential for stakeholders in the energy sector, including policymakers, investors, and consumers.