Historical context — not a forecast. Supply-at-risk figures are rough estimates of the oil flows that could be affected by an event, based on public data (EIA and news reporting). “Similar incidents historically moved…” describes the observed range of past market reactions to broadly comparable events; past market behavior does not predict future prices. The tension index is a news-density measure computed from the volume, recency and location of reported incidents — it is not a market signal. Event details are drawn automatically from news reports and may be incomplete or unconfirmed. Nothing on this page is investment, legal, or tax advice, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security. This map is provided by Kingdom Exploration LLC for educational and news purposes only.